Over at the Financial Times, I have a post which argues that the Irish backstop issue masks a broader concern about Brexit.
Put simply: those who are upset at the prospect of the backstop being triggered in 2022 are implicitly admitting that they are not confident that the relationship agreement will be in place by 2022.
And they are right not to be confident. There has been nothing about the Brexit approach to date which points to a full relationship agreement in place by the transition period.
The EU is certainly not confident, and that is why they are insisting on the backstop.
My FT post is here.
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